Australian cotton and grain growers are world-renowned for producing high-yielding, high quality fibre and grains. However, there is still considerable variation in both yield and quality within and between fields, farms, and seasons. Grain quality, namely the grain protein content (GPC), and cotton fibre quality, including length and micronaire (a composite measurement of fibre fineness [diameter] and maturity), are key determinants of the prices that growers receive due to the introduction of a premium and discount system for Australian growers.
Thus, there is an onus on growers to manage for both quality and quantity to attain premium prices. Site-specific crop management (SSCM) is the practical application of precision agriculture (PA) principles, and involves the allocation of resources and agronomic practices to match spatiotemporal variability in the crop growing environment. However, uncertainty regarding the amount of within-field variation necessary to justify investment in PA technologies, and a lack of understanding regarding the drivers of this variation to support improved decision making, is a considerable limitation to the adoption of PA for growers and advisors. Today, more data is being collected on farms and by the industry than ever before (e.g. yield data, variable-rate inputs), and there is also an enormous amount of public data that is free to access (e.g. remote sensing imagery) which can be used to describe or represent variability in GPC and cotton fibre quality. By understanding how and why cotton fibre and grain quality varies within-fields, growers and advisors can be equipped with the necessary information and tools to make better management decisions for more profitable and environmentally sustainable production systems.
This thesis explores the application of on-farm and publicly-available spatial data layers for the description, characterisation, and quantification of within-field variability in cotton yield and fibre quality (length and micronaire) and GPC, and to understand the drivers of this variability within fields. Chapter 1 provides an overview and background of the Australian cotton and grains industries and the current role of PA in understanding and managing for variability in cotton fibre and grain quality. Chapter 2 presents a generalised geostatistical approach using area-to-point kriging to map and downscale areal observations of crop production data,
which is illustrated using cotton yield and fibre quality (length and micronaire) data which is measured as a module (areal/block) average. Chapter 3 demonstrates how a combination of readily-available yield, agronomic, and publicly-available data layers can be used to create a model to predict GPC within-fields to fill-in gaps in the absence of a protein sensor. Chapter 4 investigates the relationship between wheat grain yield and GPC and applies interpretive machine learning approaches using existing spatial data layers to understand the drivers of spatial variability in GPC within-fields. In Chapter 5, the opportunities for SSCM for wheat grain yield and GPC are compared by quantifying the magnitude and spatial structure of within-field variability using the Opportunity Index (OI).
While the interpretation and application of the growing plethora of spatial data layers for decision-making is a challenge for growers and advisors, this research demonstrates the how a PA approach can use these data layers to better understand the nature and drivers of within-field variability in cotton fibre and grain quality to make better management decisions for more profitable and environmentally sustainable production systems that optimise both yield and quality.